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Monday, May 23, 2011

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat game 4 Betting Picks

Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Game 4 Preview

NBA Point Spread
: Heat -5 O/U OFF

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Even though 2 of the Big 3 of LeBron James and Dwyane Wade did not have
the best Game 3 the Bulls could not contain the 3rd member of Chris Bosh, who
scored 34 points on 13/18 shooting in the Miami win. Derrick Rose scored 20
points, but for the 2nd straight game he did not shoot the rock well (8/19 from the
floor) and for the game Chicago shot 41.6%. The Bulls are not a high scoring
team and they have to play much better D in Game 4, as in Game 3 the Heat
shot 50.7% from the floor and this season the Bulls are 2-9 when an opponent
shoots over 50%.

Interesting fact that the last team to win a Game 3 in the Eastern Conference
semifinals and go on to lose the series was the 2005 Miami Heat.

In Game 3 in Miami the Heat beat the Bulls 96-85 and Miami covered the spread
and the posted total went Over.

This season the Heat are 48-46-1 ATS and the Bulls are 56-38-2 ATS. The Heat
are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Bulls.

Game 4 is in Miami and the Heat have yet to lose at home in this post-season (7-

The Bulls did have a solid Game 3 on the boards out-rebounding the Heat by
9, but they have to shoot the rock better and attack the rim and not settle for
jumpers. Rose, Luol Deng (6/13 14 points), and Carlos Boozer (8/19 26 points)
all shot under 50% from the field and the Bulls only had 36 points in the paint.

Rose has to get it going, as he has struggled in the last couple of games with his
shot and Chicago has lost both games. He only had 5 assists in Game 3 and 0 in
the first half and if he is not hitting his shot he must dish out the rock more.

Joakim Noah is not a focal part of the Bulls offense, but he has to score off
offensive boards and put backs. He only had 1 point in Game 3 and only had 5
rebounds. He has to be more physical inside and get some easy buckets in the
paint as well as pull down more boards.

Betting Trends

Chicago is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning
percentage above 60% and they have an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10
games after an ATS loss.

Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games
playing on 1 days rest, and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 home


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